Condemnation from Kyiv to Bucharest is swift, as leaders stress the importance of a unified response and warn that Russia’s ‘reckless behavior’ threatens regional stability.
I’d sure cheer to see that happen, though I’d be surprised. My speculation on what we’ll most likely see is either:
Nothing, except heightened alert in NATO countries (because Russia stops the drone attacks on NATO)
Direct coordination between AFU’s air defense directorate and NATO countries to identify targets that are likely to encroach on NATO airspace and then NATO will interdict those targets, possibly while still over Ukraine proper (but more likely only over Ukraine on close approach to the border).
I don’t know that I’m right, I’m just some mook on the internet, and if I had to bet I’d say it’s much more likely that there needs to be still greater escalation from Russia before we see direct interdiction over Ukraine. But we can hope.
(And if Russia considers this a win, who knows. They’re big on their “Just according to keikaku” spins over there, and at this point they’re not exactly renowned for their tactical or strategic planning abilities)
I’d sure cheer to see that happen, though I’d be surprised. My speculation on what we’ll most likely see is either:
I don’t know that I’m right, I’m just some mook on the internet, and if I had to bet I’d say it’s much more likely that there needs to be still greater escalation from Russia before we see direct interdiction over Ukraine. But we can hope.
(And if Russia considers this a win, who knows. They’re big on their “Just according to keikaku” spins over there, and at this point they’re not exactly renowned for their tactical or strategic planning abilities)