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Cake day: June 4th, 2025

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  • Not at all. People don’t understand a lot of the nuances of gerrymandering, and this sort of reliance on it often backfires, especially as a decade goes on.

    The redistricting happens at the beginning of the decade, following the Census. As the decade progresses, many areas change, with some areas booming, others waning, and their original influence on the redistricting changes. For instance, a Red rural area may start to lean Blue as new housing developments around a new industry pop up, and by the end of the decade, that reliable Red district is now very Purple, maybe even fully Blue.

    This unusual mid-decade redistricting happened based on 6 year old data, a period of extreme political upheaval. To expect that the political make-up is exactly the same as it was back then is expecting a LOT. Many districts are an unknown factor.

    Consider this:

    They got rid of one solid Red district, but diluted three solid Blue districts. This districts are probably 30% Blue now. Normally, that wouldn’t be enough to win the district, but we have been seeing elections in Trump districts that are showing enormous drops in support, sometimes by 30 points or more. If this redistricting has given Dems a 30% boost in a year on which MAGAs are down 20-30%, those previously solid districts become prime for flips. And that’s without even considering that the party make-up may already be far different than expected, because of time.

    The thing to remember is that MAGAs always have a plan, but it’s always a bad plan. They only see what’s right in front of them, and they never look down the road, to the next several steps. In this case, they killed a Blue district, and that’s good enough. They have no idea they’ve endangered three districts. Maybe they won’t get all three, but if they flip even one, then their efforts will be a net negative, because now they have three MAGA Congressional reps who now have a significant number of hostile constituents they’ll have to deal with, whether they like it or not. They’ll screw this up, they always do.






  • That’s what I’m trying to explain to people. This gerrymandering is likely to backfire, especially in a bloodbath Midterms.

    In Louisiana, they got rid of one Blue district, by spreading the votes across three Solid Red Districts, severely diluting them. The district may have gone away, but the votes are still there. Now there are a LOT more Dem votes in those three districts, during an election in which MAGA votes are likely to either flip to Dem, or not vote at all. It is very possible that they may just have taken away one district, only to flip three.



  • Here we go with the MAGA disparagement of any women who shows political potential. Start tearing them down early, so when the time comes that they run for president, you can fall back on calling all those old lies her “reputation.” 30 years of defamation paid off with Hillary, so now it’s Standard Operating Procedure.

    Why it won’t work on AOC:

    • She is super intelligent, and we need a lot more of that at the top.

    • She has been incredibly effective in Congress, not just for her constituents, but for the nation.

    • She is fearless, something we need after so much cowardice from both Democrats and MAGAs.

    • She will stand up to MAGA, and punish them.

    • She is incorruptible.

    • Her constituents love her, and will support her all the way, and she has plenty of national support as well. She’s one of the most popular members of Congress, and is considered the Progressive successor to Bernie, by Bernie himself.

    AOC questions Michael Cohen

    This was her first appearance before Congress, questioning Michael Cohen just before he went to prison for being Trump’s Fixer. He wanted to tell his story, but was visibly frustrated at the usual posturing and bloviating by the panel.

    Then AOC was called, and she warned Cohen that she’d be moving fast. She started firing questions, and he answered them, naming names. By the time her five minutes was over, she had all the information necessary for Leticia James to file charges that led to Trump being found guilty of 34 felonies.

    Nobody else has been able to make anything stick, but in her debut appearance in front of Congress, AOC hit Trump harder than anyone ever has. It is a HUGE mistake to underestimate her.

    Thats who I want for president.